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Albania McLaughlin & Associates: Election Poll for Albania's Parliamentary Election from April 24, 2025

Strongest Force
PS
14.5 points ahead of Aleanca Shqiptare
Government Majority
On the Brink
72 of 140 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2029
estimated
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Albania Parliamentary Election: Voting Intention Poll

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. McLaughlin & Associates: single poll for Albania's Parliamentary election; fieldwork concluded April 24, 2025.

Changes since the last election on April 25, 2021

PS
48.9
+0.2
ASHM
34.4
+34.4
PM
5.0
+5.0
SB
4.2
+4.2
PSD
2.9
+0.6
LB
1.1
+1.1
DEA
0.9
+0.9
Other
2.6
Institute
McLaughlin & Associates
Survey Period
April 14, 2025 – April 24, 2025
Respondents
1,200
Majority for Albania's government hangs in the balance.

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 51.4% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by McLaughlin & Associates?

A recent voting intention poll for Albania by McLaughlin & Associates shows PS leading with 48.9%, followed by Aleanca Shqiptare with 34.4%, PM with 5%, Shqipëria Bëhet with 4.2%, PSD with 2.9%, LB with 1.1% and Demokratët Euroatlantikë with 0.9%. Other parties achieve 2.6% of the votes.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Seat projection based on this poll

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McLaughlin & Associates: how reliable is the projection?

? PolitPro Score

No score calculated yet

Avg. deviation in elections
–

No election comparison yet

Recorded polls
0

Last on April 24, 2025

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

No significant deviations from the Election Trend

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

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Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

0
71
0 140
Majority 71

Parties

Select parties to test coalitions.

PolitPro Analysis

Probability of an Absolute Majority

  1. PS
    61%
  2. ASHM
    <1%
  3. PM
    0%

Probability of Election Victory

  1. PS
    100%
  2. ASHM
    <1%
  3. PM
    0%

Probability of Entering Parliament

  1. SB
    99%
  2. PSD
    95%
  3. LB
    54%
  4. DEA
    45%
Unlock analysis

How does the PolitPro Analysis work?

Election polls are not predictions, but snapshots with statistical fluctuations. To obtain a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we include typical voter migration and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from small shifts within camps to political surprises – to determine the actual chances of success for parties and coalitions.

McLaughlin & Associates: Projected composition of parliament

Based on this poll, 6 parties would clear the electoral threshold and enter Albania's Parliament: PS with 72 seats, Aleanca Shqiptare with 50 seats, PM with 7 seats, Shqipëria Bëhet with 6 seats, PSD with 4 seats and LB with 1 seats.

Albania's Electoral System Explained

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Electoral Threshold and Hurdles

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Government formation and coalition traditions

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