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Latest Opinion Poll for the Andorra Election (CRES, March 13, 2019)

February 28, 2019 - March 13, 2019

1212 respondents

Next Andorra's General Election: 2027

The next Andorra's General Election is expected in 2027.

Who is leading in the latest poll from CRES?

A new national poll in Andorra by CRES reveals DA leading with 38.7%, followed by PS: 28.9%, Liberals: 16%, TV: 6.2%, SDP: 5.2%, SA: 3.1% and UPA: 1.1%. Other parties secure 0.8% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: Andorra
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
All Election Polls
Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data
What do the parties stand for?
Information, comparisons, and data on parties in Andorra
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Quality Check: How Reliable is the CRES Projection?

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PolitPro Score

CRES achieved a PolitPro Score of ? out of 100.

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Election Accuracy

On average, CRES's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

CRES at a Glance
Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias
Which institutes are the most reliable?
Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

0
Majority requires 1 seats

No Electoral Threshold

There is no electoral threshold for the General Election in Andorra.

PolitPro Analysis
Likelihood of an Absolute Majority
  • DA
    ??%
  • SDP
    ??%
Likelihood of Winning the Election
  • DA
    ??%
  • SDP
    ??%
Likelihood of Crossing the Electoral Threshold

How Does the PolitPro Analysis Work?

Election polls are not predictions; they are snapshots subject to statistical fluctuations. To provide a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we factor in typical voter migration patterns and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from minor shifts within political camps to unexpected political developments – to determine the true chances of success for parties and coalitions.

Unlock Analysis

The Electoral System in Andorra

Andorra's electoral system operates under a dual, or 'parallel voting,' structure. Of the 28 seats in the Consell General (General Council), 14 are allocated via proportional representation in a national constituency. The remaining 14 seats are determined by majority voting across Andorra's seven parishes (Parròquies), with each parish electing two representatives. This hybrid system ensures equitable representation for both the principality's populous urban centers and its traditional rural regions within the parliament.

Electoral Thresholds

Andorra implements an electoral threshold for the allocation of national seats. Parties must secure a specific percentage of the vote to qualify for the proportional distribution of the 14 national mandates. Conversely, local mandates in the Parròquies operate under a majority principle: the list with the most votes in a parish secures both available seats. This structure grants significant weight to local majorities in shaping the final composition of the Consell General.

Government Formation and Traditions

Government formation in Andorra unfolds within the Consell General. Members of Parliament elect the Head of Government (Cap de Govern), who then assembles their cabinet. Given that the electoral system often favors clear majorities in the parishes, a single-party government led by a strong party is feasible. However, close election results frequently necessitate the formation of coalitions or parliamentary pacts among various political groups to secure a stable majority for the Cap de Govern's election.

Coalition Calculator
Which parties could form a stable majority?

Data Sources and Methodology

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