Latest voting intention survey by Market for the National Council election
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Austria conducted by Market, the parties received the following results: FPÖ 32%, ÖVP 21%, SPÖ 21%, NEOS 12%, GRÜNE 9% and KPÖ 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 829 people during the period 07.03.2025 - 07.03.2025. The survey was commissioned by Der Standard.
829 participants
05.03.2025 - 07.03.2025
Market
Der Standard
Seats in parliament
183
Majority requires 92 seats
SPÖ
40
21.9%
GRÜNE
17
9.3%
NEOS
23
12.6%
ÖVP
41
22.4%
FPÖ
62
33.9%
ÖVP + SPÖ + NEOS
FPÖ + ÖVP
FPÖ + SPÖ
ÖVP + SPÖ + GRÜNE
82
PolitPro Score
Market achieves a score of 82/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Latest voting intention surveys by Market for the federal states
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.7
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Market pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.7 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.21
|
Parliamentary Election in Österreich 2024 | 4/6 |
|
1.06
|
Parliamentary Election in Niederösterreich 2023 | 2/5 |
|
1.08
|
Parliamentary Election in Oberösterreich 2021 | 1/3 |
|
1.05
|
Parliamentary Election in Wien 2020 | 2/4 |
|
2.13
|
Parliamentary Election in Steiermark 2019 | 3/3 |
|
2.22
|
Parliamentary Election in Österreich 2019 | 5/7 |
|
1.5
|
Parliamentary Election in Niederösterreich 2018 | 2/5 |
|
2
|
Parliamentary Election in Wien 2015 | 4/4 |
|
2.78
|
Parliamentary Election in Niederösterreich 2013 | 3/3 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.