Latest voting intention survey by Peter Hajek for the National Council election
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Austria conducted by Peter Hajek, the parties received the following results: FPÖ 31%, ÖVP 21%, SPÖ 20%, Bierpartei 8%, GRÜNE 8%, NEOS 8% and KPÖ 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1200 people during the period 16.05.2024 - 16.05.2024. The survey was commissioned by ATV.
1200 participants
08.05.2024 - 16.05.2024
Peter Hajek
ATV
FPÖ
31.0
+1.0
ÖVP
21.0
±0.0
SPÖ
20.0
-2.0
BIER
8.0
±0.0
GRÜNE
8.0
±0.0
NEOS
8.0
±0.0
KPÖ
3.0
±0.0
Others
1.0
+1.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
183
Majority requires 92 seats
SPÖ
38
20.8%
GRÜNE
15
8.2%
BIER
15
8.2%
NEOS
15
8.2%
ÖVP
40
21.9%
FPÖ
60
32.8%
FPÖ + ÖVP
FPÖ + SPÖ
ÖVP + SPÖ + GRÜNE
ÖVP + SPÖ + NEOS
ÖVP + SPÖ + Bierpartei
FPÖ + NEOS + Bierpartei
74
PolitPro Score
Peter Hajek achieves a score of 74/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Latest voting intention surveys by Peter Hajek for the federal states
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.3
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Peter Hajek pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.3 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.68
|
Parliamentary Election in Kärnten 2023 | 2/2 |
|
1.82
|
Parliamentary Election in Österreich 2019 | 1/7 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.