Upcoming elections:

Current election polls by Research Affairs

Latest polls from Research Affairs

Rating of parties

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Research Affairs pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.9 percentage points.

Average ranking

Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Research Affairs's average ranking is 4.7.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
1x the second best prediction
3
0x the third best prediction
5
0x on rank 5
6
0x on rank 6
7
0x on rank 7