Latest voting intention survey by Research Affairs for the National Council election
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Austria conducted by Research Affairs, the parties received the following results: ÖVP 34%, SPÖ 22%, FPÖ 15%, GRÜNE 10%, NEOS 9%, MFG 5% and KPÖ 4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 521 people during the period 30.09.2021 - 30.09.2021. The survey was commissioned by ÖSTERREICH.
521 participants
28.09.2021 - 30.09.2021
Research Affairs
ÖSTERREICH
ÖVP
34.0
-1.0
SPÖ
22.0
+2.0
FPÖ
15.0
-2.0
GRÜNE
10.0
-2.0
NEOS
9.0
-3.0
MFG
5.0
+5.0
KPÖ
4.0
+4.0
Others
1.0
-3.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
183
Majority requires 92 seats
KPÖ
7
3.8%
SPÖ
41
22.4%
GRÜNE
18
9.8%
NEOS
16
8.7%
ÖVP
64
35%
FPÖ
28
15.3%
MFG
9
4.9%
ÖVP + SPÖ
ÖVP + GRÜNE + NEOS
ÖVP + FPÖ
77
PolitPro Score
Research Affairs achieves a score of 77/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Latest voting intention surveys by Research Affairs for the federal states
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.1
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Research Affairs pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.1 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.62
|
Parliamentary Election in Wien 2020 | 4/4 |
|
1.47
|
Parliamentary Election in Steiermark 2019 | 2/3 |
|
2.62
|
Parliamentary Election in Österreich 2019 | 6/7 |
|
2.66
|
Parliamentary Election in Niederösterreich 2018 | 5/5 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.