Current election polls and polling data from Spectra

Latest voting intention survey by Spectra for the National Council election

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Austria conducted by Spectra, the parties received the following results: FPÖ 35%, SPÖ 22%, ÖVP 19%, NEOS 10%, GRÜNE 9% and KPÖ 3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1001 people during the period 14.02.2025 - 14.02.2025. The survey was commissioned by Kleine Zeitung.
1001 participants
13.02.2025 - 14.02.2025
Spectra
Kleine Zeitung
FPÖ
35.0
+8.0
SPÖ
22.0
+1.0
ÖVP
19.0
-5.0
NEOS
10.0
±0.0
GRÜNE
9.0
+1.0
KPÖ
3.0
±0.0
Others
2.0
-5.0

Seats in parliament

183
Majority requires 92 seats
SPÖ
42
23%
GRÜNE
17
9.3%
NEOS
19
10.4%
ÖVP
37
20.2%
FPÖ
68
37.2%
FPÖ + SPÖ
60.1%
FPÖ + ÖVP
57.4%
SPÖ + ÖVP + NEOS
53.6%
SPÖ + ÖVP + GRÜNE
52.5%

79

PolitPro Score

Spectra achieves a score of 79/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Latest voting intention surveys by Spectra for the federal states

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
FPÖ
0
65
35
GRÜNE
30
70
0
KPÖ
Not enough data available
NEOS
33
67
0
SPÖ
5
85
10
ÖVP
5
85
10

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.3

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Spectra pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.3 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.27
Parliamentary Election in Österreich 2024 6/6

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.