Latest Election Polls by Unique Research

About Unique Research

87

PolitPro Score

Unique Research achieved a PolitPro Score of 87 out of 100.

1.3

Election Accuracy

On average, Unique Research's figures deviate by 1.3 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Party Analysis: Statistical Deviations by Unique Research

Historical Polls vs. Election Trend (in %)

Lower
Consistent
Higher
FPÖ
Right-wing Populist
11
61
28
GRÜNE
Centre-Left
5
78
16
KPÖ
Left-wing
0
88
13
NEOS
Liberal
10
82
8
ÖVP
Christian Democratic
19
64
17
SPÖ
Social Democratic
27
58
15

How is the data calculated?

The PolitPro Election Trend serves as the benchmark, using a time-weighted average of all current surveys. A poll value is flagged if it deviates by more than one percentage point from this trend.

Performance Track Record: Historical Accuracy of Unique Research

1.3

Election Accuracy

On average, Unique Research's figures deviate by 1.3 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from Actual Results (Historical)

How is election accuracy calculated?

Accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls aligned with actual election results. We compare final surveys from various institutes with official outcomes. To do this, we calculate the average deviation across all parties that received at least 3% of the vote. Most election polls have a standard margin of error of 2-3 percentage points. We categorize average deviations as follows: up to 1 percentage point is "very good" (green); up to 2 points is "good" (yellow); up to 3 points is "acceptable" (orange), though this may indicate significant outliers for specific parties. Deviations exceeding 3 percentage points suggest a lack of predictive power and are rated "poor" (red).

Data Sources and Methodology

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