Austria
Election trend
Parties

Austria: Poll by Karmasin Research & Identity from 15.01.2020

Polling data

ÖVP
39.0
±0.0
SPÖ
17.0
±0.0
GRÜNE
17.0
±0.0
FPÖ
15.0
±0.0
NEOS
9.0
±0.0
Sonst.
3.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 29.09.2019
ÖVP
+1.5
SPÖ
-4.2
GRÜNE
+3.1
FPÖ
-1.2
NEOS
+0.9
Karmasin Research & Identity – 1000 respondents – 10.01.2019-15.01.2020
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Austria is expected to take place in 2024.

Election poll results

Austria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Austria from Karmasin Research & Identity shows the following results: ÖVP 39%, SPÖ 17%, GRÜNE 17%, FPÖ 15% and NEOS 9%. If an election were held in Austria this Sunday, GRÜNE might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.1 growth since the last election. SPÖ, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Karl Nehammer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ÖVP and GRÜNE. With 57.7% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Karmasin Research & Identity. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 370 days (10.01.2019 - 15.01.2020).

Coalition possibilities

183
SPÖ
32
GRÜNE
32
NEOS
17
ÖVP
74
FPÖ
28
Majority requires 92 seats
ÖVP + SPÖ
106
ÖVP + GRÜNE
106
ÖVP + FPÖ
102
ÖVP + NEOS
91

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Austria was conducted by Karmasin Research & Identity. The survey took place between 10.01.2019 and 15.01.2020 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ÖVP 39%, SPÖ 17%, GRÜNE 17%, FPÖ 15% and NEOS 9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.