Tyrol: Poll by Market from 15.12.2022

Tyrol: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
ÖVP
33.0
+7.0
FPÖ
21.0
+3.0
SPÖ
17.0
-4.0
FRITZ
12.0
-2.0
GRÜNE
9.0
±0.0
NEOS
6.0
-1.0
Others
2.0
-3.0
Development since the last election on 25.09.2022
ÖVP
-1.7
FPÖ
+2.2
SPÖ
-0.5
FRITZ
+2.1
GRÜNE
-0.2
NEOS
-0.3
Market – 800 respondents – 28.11.2022-15.12.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Tyrol is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 800 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Institute often rates SPÖ higher

In 35% of election polls, Market rates SPÖ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Tyrol - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Tyrol from Market shows the following results: ÖVP 33%, FPÖ 21%, SPÖ 17%, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 12%, GRÜNE 9% and NEOS 6%. If an election were held in Tyrol this Sunday, FPÖ might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. ÖVP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Anton Mattle is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ÖVP and SPÖ. With 52.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Market. For this purpose, 800 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 17 days (28.11.2022 - 15.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

36
Majority requires 19 seats
SPÖ
6
16.7%
FRITZ
4
11.1%
GRÜNE
3
8.3%
NEOS
2
5.6%
ÖVP
13
36.1%
FPÖ
8
22.2%
ÖVP + FPÖ
58.3%
ÖVP + Liste Fritz Dinkhauser + GRÜNE
55.6%
ÖVP + SPÖ
52.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Tyrol was conducted by Market. The survey took place between 28.11.2022 and 15.12.2022 among 800 eligible voters. After this election poll would get ÖVP 33%, FPÖ 21%, SPÖ 17%, Liste Fritz Dinkhauser 12%, GRÜNE 9% and NEOS 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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