Austria
Election trend
Parties

Austria: Poll by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft from 18.01.2023

Polling data

FPÖ
26.0
+1.0
SPÖ
25.0
±0.0
ÖVP
20.0
-2.0
NEOS
12.0
+1.0
GRÜNE
9.0
-1.0
BIER
6.0
±0.0
Sonst.
2.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 29.09.2019
FPÖ
+9.8
SPÖ
+3.8
ÖVP
-17.5
NEOS
+3.9
GRÜNE
-4.9
BIER
+5.9
Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft – 2000 respondents – 09.11.2023-18.01.2023
Next election: 2024
The next parliamentary election in Austria is expected to take place in 2024.
Institute often rates NEOS higher
In 38% of election polls, Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft rates NEOS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates ÖVP lower
In 38% of election polls Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft rates ÖVP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates SPÖ higher
In 33% of election polls, Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft rates SPÖ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Austria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Austria from Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft shows the following results: FPÖ 26%, SPÖ 25%, ÖVP 20%, NEOS 12%, GRÜNE 9% and Bierpartei 6%. If an election were held in Austria this Sunday, FPÖ might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.8 growth since the last election. ÖVP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-17.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Karl Nehammer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ÖVP and GRÜNE. With 29.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 295 days (09.11.2023 - 18.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

183
SPÖ
47
GRÜNE
17
NEOS
22
BIER
11
ÖVP
37
FPÖ
49
Majority requires 92 seats
FPÖ + ÖVP + NEOS
108
SPÖ + ÖVP + NEOS
106
SPÖ + ÖVP + GRÜNE
101
SPÖ + NEOS + GRÜNE + Bierpartei
97
FPÖ + ÖVP + Bierpartei
97
FPÖ + SPÖ
96
SPÖ + ÖVP + Bierpartei
95
SPÖ + NEOS + GRÜNE
86
FPÖ + ÖVP
86
SPÖ + ÖVP
84

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Austria was conducted by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft. The survey took place between 09.11.2023 and 18.01.2023 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get FPÖ 26%, SPÖ 25%, ÖVP 20%, NEOS 12%, GRÜNE 9% and Bierpartei 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.