Austria
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Vorarlberg
Styria

Austria: Poll by Spectra from 21.07.2024

Polling data

FPÖ
27.0
+1.0
ÖVP
22.0
-11.0
SPÖ
22.0
-3.0
GRÜNE
9.0
+5.0
NEOS
9.0
+3.0
BIER
6.0
+6.0
KPÖ
4.0
+4.0
Sonst.
1.0
-5.0
Development since the last election on 29.09.2024
FPÖ
-1.8
ÖVP
-4.3
SPÖ
+0.9
GRÜNE
+0.8
NEOS
-0.1
BIER
+4.0
KPÖ
+1.6
Spectra – 1000 respondents – 12.07.2024-21.07.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Austria is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates FPÖ higher

In 33% of election polls, Spectra rates FPÖ higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates GRÜNE lower

In 33% of election polls Spectra rates GRÜNE lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates NEOS lower

In 38% of election polls Spectra rates NEOS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Austria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Austria from Spectra shows the following results: FPÖ 27%, ÖVP 22%, SPÖ 22%, GRÜNE 9%, NEOS 9%, Bierpartei 6% and KPÖ 4%. If an election were held in Austria this Sunday, Bierpartei might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.0 growth since the last election. ÖVP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Karl Nehammer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ÖVP and GRÜNE. With 31.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Spectra. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (12.07.2024 - 21.07.2024).

Coalition possibilities

183
KPÖ
7
SPÖ
41
GRÜNE
16
NEOS
16
BIER
11
ÖVP
41
FPÖ
51
Majority requires 92 seats
ÖVP + SPÖ + GRÜNE
98
ÖVP + SPÖ + NEOS
98
ÖVP + SPÖ + Bierpartei
93
SPÖ + NEOS + GRÜNE + Bierpartei + KPÖ
91
FPÖ + ÖVP
92
FPÖ + SPÖ
92

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Austria was conducted by Spectra. The survey took place between 12.07.2024 and 21.07.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get FPÖ 27%, ÖVP 22%, SPÖ 22%, GRÜNE 9%, NEOS 9%, Bierpartei 6% and KPÖ 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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