Austria
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Vorarlberg
Styria

Austria: Poll by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft from 04.09.2024

Polling data

FPÖ
28.0
+1.0
ÖVP
26.0
+3.0
SPÖ
20.0
±0.0
NEOS
10.0
-2.0
GRÜNE
7.0
-1.0
BIER
4.0
±0.0
KPÖ
3.0
±0.0
KEINE
1.0
±0.0
LMP
1.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 29.09.2024
FPÖ
-0.8
ÖVP
-0.3
SPÖ
-1.1
NEOS
+0.9
GRÜNE
-1.2
BIER
+2.0
KPÖ
+0.6
KEINE
+0.4
LMP
+0.4
Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft – 2000 respondents – 26.08.2024-04.09.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Austria is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates NEOS higher

In 38% of election polls, Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft rates NEOS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates ÖVP lower

In 34% of election polls Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft rates ÖVP lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Austria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Austria from Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft shows the following results: FPÖ 28%, ÖVP 26%, SPÖ 20%, NEOS 10%, GRÜNE 7%, Bierpartei 4%, KPÖ 3%, Keine 1% and Liste Madeleine Petrovic 1%. If an election were held in Austria this Sunday, Bierpartei might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.0 growth since the last election. GRÜNE, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Karl Nehammer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ÖVP and GRÜNE. With 34.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft. For this purpose, 2000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (26.08.2024 - 04.09.2024).

Coalition possibilities

183
SPÖ
39
GRÜNE
13
NEOS
19
BIER
7
ÖVP
51
FPÖ
54
Majority requires 92 seats
ÖVP + SPÖ + NEOS
109
FPÖ + ÖVP
105
ÖVP + SPÖ + GRÜNE
103
ÖVP + SPÖ + Bierpartei
97
FPÖ + SPÖ
93
ÖVP + NEOS + GRÜNE + Bierpartei
90
ÖVP + SPÖ
90

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Austria was conducted by Lazarsfeld Gesellschaft. The survey took place between 26.08.2024 and 04.09.2024 among 2000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get FPÖ 28%, ÖVP 26%, SPÖ 20%, NEOS 10%, GRÜNE 7%, Bierpartei 4%, KPÖ 3%, Keine 1% and Liste Madeleine Petrovic 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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