Austria: Poll by INSA from 04.12.2024

Polling data

FPÖ
34.0
+2.0
ÖVP
21.0
-1.0
SPÖ
20.0
-1.0
NEOS
9.0
±0.0
GRÜNE
8.0
±0.0
KPÖ
3.0
+1.0
BIER
1.0
-1.0
Others
4.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 29.09.2024
FPÖ
+5.2
ÖVP
-5.3
SPÖ
-1.1
NEOS
-0.1
GRÜNE
-0.2
KPÖ
+0.6
BIER
-1.0
INSA – 1004 respondents – 02.12.2024-04.12.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Austria is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Austria - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Austria from INSA shows the following results: FPÖ 34%, ÖVP 21%, SPÖ 20%, NEOS 9%, GRÜNE 8%, KPÖ 3% and Bierpartei 1%. If an election were held in Austria this Sunday, FPÖ might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.2 growth since the last election. ÖVP, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Alexander Schallenberg is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from ÖVP and GRÜNE. With 31.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1004 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (02.12.2024 - 04.12.2024).

Coalition possibilities

183
Majority requires 92 seats
SPÖ
39
21.3%
GRÜNE
16
8.7%
NEOS
18
9.8%
ÖVP
42
23%
FPÖ
68
37.2%
FPÖ + ÖVP
60.1%
FPÖ + SPÖ
58.5%
ÖVP + SPÖ + NEOS
54.1%
ÖVP + SPÖ + GRÜNE
53.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Austria was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 02.12.2024 and 04.12.2024 among 1004 eligible voters. After this election poll would get FPÖ 34%, ÖVP 21%, SPÖ 20%, NEOS 9%, GRÜNE 8%, KPÖ 3% and Bierpartei 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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