Baden-Württemberg: Poll by Forsa from 01.02.2019

Polling data

Grüne
33.0
+1.0
CDU
23.0
-4.0
AfD
13.0
+1.0
SPD
9.0
-3.0
FDP
9.0
±0.0
Linke
6.0
+2.0
Others
7.0
+3.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
Grüne
+0.4
CDU
-1.1
AfD
+3.3
SPD
-2.0
FDP
-1.5
Linke
+2.4
Forsa – 1007 respondents – 29.01.2019-01.02.2019

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 35% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Baden-Württemberg from Forsa shows the following results: Grüne 33%, CDU 23%, AfD 13%, SPD 9%, FDP 9% and Die Linke 6%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.3 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 59.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1007 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (29.01.2019 - 01.02.2019).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
8
6.7%
SPD
12
10%
Grüne
42
35%
FDP
12
10%
CDU
29
24.2%
AfD
17
14.2%
Grüne + CDU
59.2%
Grüne + FDP + SPD
55.0%
Grüne + SPD + Die Linke
51.7%
Grüne + SPD
45.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 29.01.2019 and 01.02.2019 among 1007 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Grüne 33%, CDU 23%, AfD 13%, SPD 9%, FDP 9% and Die Linke 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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