Baden-Württemberg: Poll by INSA from 08.05.2019

Baden-Württemberg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Grüne
28.0
-1.0
CDU
27.0
±0.0
AfD
12.0
±0.0
SPD
11.0
-2.0
FDP
10.0
+1.0
Linke
6.0
+1.0
FW
2.0
±0.0
Others
4.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
Grüne
-4.6
CDU
+2.9
AfD
+2.3
SPD
±0.0
FDP
-0.5
Linke
+2.4
FW
-1.0
INSA – 1040 respondents – 06.05.2019-08.05.2019

Next election: 08.03.2026

The next general election in Baden-Württemberg will be held in 235.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 34% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Baden-Württemberg from INSA shows the following results: Grüne 28%, CDU 27%, AfD 12%, SPD 11%, FDP 10%, Die Linke 6% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. Grüne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 58.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1040 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (06.05.2019 - 08.05.2019).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
8
6.7%
SPD
14
11.7%
Grüne
36
30%
FDP
13
10.8%
CDU
34
28.3%
AfD
15
12.5%
Grüne + CDU
58.3%
Grüne + SPD + FDP
52.5%
CDU + AfD + FDP
51.7%
CDU + SPD + FDP
50.8%
Grüne + SPD + Die Linke
48.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 06.05.2019 and 08.05.2019 among 1040 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Grüne 28%, CDU 27%, AfD 12%, SPD 11%, FDP 10%, Die Linke 6% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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