Baden-Württemberg
Election trend
Parties

Baden-Württemberg: Poll by Infratest dimap from 03.03.2021

Polling data

Grüne
33.0
-1.0
CDU
25.0
-2.0
AfD
12.0
+2.0
SPD
10.0
-1.0
FDP
10.0
+1.0
Linke
4.0
+1.0
Sonst.
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
Grüne
+0.4
CDU
+0.9
AfD
+2.3
SPD
-1.0
FDP
-0.5
Linke
+0.4
Infratest dimap – 1185 respondents – 01.03.2021-03.03.2021
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the State election in Baden-Württemberg from Infratest dimap shows the following results: Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 33%, CDU 25%, AfD 12%, SPD 10%, FDP 10% and Die Linke 4%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.3 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 64.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1185 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (01.03.2021 - 03.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

120
SPD
13
Grüne
44
FDP
13
CDU
34
AfD
16
Majority requires 61 seats
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU
78
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP + SPD
70
CDU + AfD + FDP
63
CDU + FDP + SPD
60
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
57

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 01.03.2021 and 03.03.2021 among 1185 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 33%, CDU 25%, AfD 12%, SPD 10%, FDP 10% and Die Linke 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.