Baden-Württemberg: Poll by INSA from 28.10.2019

Baden-Württemberg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
Grüne
30.0
+2.0
CDU
27.0
±0.0
AfD
13.0
+1.0
SPD
11.0
±0.0
FDP
9.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
-2.0
Others
6.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
INSA – 1036 respondents – 23.10.2019-28.10.2019

Next election: 08.03.2026

The next general election in Baden-Württemberg will be held in 235.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 34% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Baden-Württemberg from INSA shows the following results: Grüne 30%, CDU 27%, AfD 13%, SPD 11%, FDP 9% and Die Linke 4%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.3 growth since the last election. Grüne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 63.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1036 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (23.10.2019 - 28.10.2019).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD
15
12.5%
Grüne
40
33.3%
FDP
12
10%
CDU
36
30%
AfD
17
14.2%
Grüne + CDU
63.3%
Grüne + SPD + FDP
55.8%
CDU + AfD + FDP
54.2%
CDU + SPD + FDP
52.5%
Grüne + SPD
45.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 23.10.2019 and 28.10.2019 among 1036 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Grüne 30%, CDU 27%, AfD 13%, SPD 11%, FDP 9% and Die Linke 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.