Baden-Württemberg
Election trend
Parties

Baden-Württemberg: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 22.10.2022

Polling data

Grüne
27.5
-3.0
CDU
22.0
-2.0
AfD
16.0
+4.0
SPD
15.0
+2.0
FDP
8.0
-2.0
FW
4.0
+4.0
Linke
3.0
+0.5
Sonst.
4.5
-3.5
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
Grüne
-5.1
CDU
-2.1
AfD
+6.3
SPD
+4.0
FDP
-2.5
FW
+1.0
Linke
-0.6
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1014 respondents – 16.10.2022-22.10.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the State election in Baden-Württemberg from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 27.5%, CDU 22%, AfD 16%, SPD 15%, FDP 8%, Freie Wähler 4% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.3 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 56.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1014 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (16.10.2022 - 22.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

120
SPD
20
Grüne
37
FDP
11
CDU
30
AfD
22
Majority requires 61 seats
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
68
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU
67
CDU + AfD + FDP
63
CDU + SPD + FDP
61
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
57

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 16.10.2022 and 22.10.2022 among 1014 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 27.5%, CDU 22%, AfD 16%, SPD 15%, FDP 8%, Freie Wähler 4% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.