Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
Wahlkreisprognose – 1014 respondents – 16.10.2022-22.10.2022
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 40% of election polls, Wahlkreisprognose rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Baden-Wuerttemberg is expected to take place in 2026.
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 56.0% of the votes.
Frequently asked questions about election polls
election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Wuerttemberg was conducted by Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 16.10.2022 and 22.10.2022 among 1014 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 27.5%, CDU 22%, AfD 16%, SPD 15%, FDP 8%, Freie Wähler 4% and Die Linke 3%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.