Baden-Württemberg
Election trend
Parties

Baden-Württemberg: Poll by INSA from 31.10.2022

Polling data

CDU
28.0
+2.0
Grüne
26.0
-3.0
SPD
13.0
-1.0
AfD
13.0
+3.0
FDP
10.0
-1.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
CDU
+3.9
Grüne
-6.6
SPD
+2.0
AfD
+3.3
FDP
-0.5
Linke
-0.6
INSA – 1000 respondents – 24.10.2022-31.10.2022
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the State election in Baden-Württemberg from INSA shows the following results: CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 26%, SPD 13%, AfD 13%, FDP 10% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 60.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (24.10.2022 - 31.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

120
SPD
17
Grüne
35
FDP
13
CDU
38
AfD
17
Majority requires 61 seats
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
73
CDU + SPD + FDP
68
CDU + AfD + FDP
68
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
65
CDU + SPD
55

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 24.10.2022 and 31.10.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 26%, SPD 13%, AfD 13%, FDP 10% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.