Baden-Wuerttemberg: Poll by INSA from 31.10.2022

Polling data

CDU
28.0
+2.0
Grüne
26.0
-3.0
SPD
13.0
-1.0
AfD
13.0
+3.0
FDP
10.0
-1.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Others
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
INSA – 1000 respondents – 24.10.2022-31.10.2022
Institute often rates AfD higher
In 30% of election polls, INSA rates AfD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 43% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2026
The next parliamentary election in Baden-Wuerttemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Coalition possibilities

CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
60.0
CDU + SPD + FDP
56.6
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
54.4
CDU + SPD
45.5


Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 60.0% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Wuerttemberg was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 24.10.2022 and 31.10.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 28%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 26%, SPD 13%, AfD 13%, FDP 10% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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