Baden-Württemberg: Poll by INSA from 27.03.2023

Polling data

Grüne
28.0
+2.0
CDU
27.0
-1.0
SPD
13.0
±0.0
AfD
12.0
-1.0
FDP
9.0
-1.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Others
8.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
Grüne
-4.6
CDU
+2.9
SPD
+2.0
AfD
+2.3
FDP
-1.5
Linke
-0.6
INSA – 1000 respondents – 20.03.2023-27.03.2023

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the State election in Baden-Württemberg from INSA shows the following results: Grüne 28%, CDU 27%, SPD 13%, AfD 12%, FDP 9% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. Grüne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 61.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (20.03.2023 - 27.03.2023).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD
18
14.6%
Grüne
38
31.5%
FDP
12
10.1%
CDU
36
30.3%
AfD
16
13.5%
Grüne + CDU
61.7%
Grüne + SPD + FDP
56.7%
CDU + SPD + FDP
55.0%
CDU + AfD + FDP
53.3%
Grüne + SPD
46.7%
CDU + SPD
45.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 20.03.2023 and 27.03.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Grüne 28%, CDU 27%, SPD 13%, AfD 12%, FDP 9% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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