Baden-Württemberg: Poll by Infratest dimap from 25.09.2023

Polling data

CDU
29.0
+3.0
Grüne
22.0
-2.0
AfD
20.0
+1.0
SPD
12.0
-1.0
FDP
8.0
+1.0
Others
9.0
-2.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
CDU
+4.9
Grüne
-10.6
AfD
+10.3
SPD
+1.0
FDP
-2.5
Infratest dimap – 1162 respondents – 21.09.2023-25.09.2023

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the State election in Baden-Württemberg from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU 29%, Grüne 22%, AfD 20%, SPD 12% and FDP 8%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +10.3 growth since the last election. Grüne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 56.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1162 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (21.09.2023 - 25.09.2023).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD
16
13.2%
Grüne
29
24.2%
FDP
11
8.8%
CDU
38
31.9%
AfD
26
22%
CDU + Grüne
55.8%
CDU + SPD + FDP
54.2%
CDU + AfD
53.3%
Grüne + SPD + FDP
46.7%
CDU + SPD
45.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 21.09.2023 and 25.09.2023 among 1162 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 29%, Grüne 22%, AfD 20%, SPD 12% and FDP 8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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