Baden-Württemberg: Poll by Infratest dimap from 10.12.2024

Polling data

CDU
33.0
-1.0
Grüne
22.0
+4.0
AfD
15.0
-1.0
SPD
13.0
±0.0
BSW
4.0
-1.0
FDP
4.0
-1.0
Others
9.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
CDU
+8.9
Grüne
-10.6
AfD
+5.3
SPD
+2.0
BSW
New
FDP
-6.5
Infratest dimap – 1156 respondents – 05.12.2024-10.12.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg is expected to take place in 2026.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Baden-Württemberg from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU 33%, Grüne 22%, AfD 15%, SPD 13%, BSW 4% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +8.9 growth since the last election. Grüne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 65.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1156 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (05.12.2024 - 10.12.2024).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD
19
15.8%
Grüne
32
26.7%
CDU
47
39.2%
AfD
22
18.3%
CDU + Grüne
65.8%
CDU + AfD
57.5%
CDU + SPD
55.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 05.12.2024 and 10.12.2024 among 1156 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 33%, Grüne 22%, AfD 15%, SPD 13%, BSW 4% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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