Baden-Württemberg: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 10.05.2025

Baden-Württemberg: Polling data

CDU
26.0
-4.0
AfD
23.0
+1.0
Grüne
23.0
+3.0
SPD
12.5
+2.5
Linke
5.5
+4.0
FDP
4.5
-2.5
BSW
1.5
+1.5
Others
4.0
-5.5
Development since the last election on 14.03.2021
CDU
+1.9
AfD
+13.3
Grüne
-9.6
SPD
+1.5
Linke
+1.9
FDP
-6.0
BSW
New
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1100 respondents – 03.05.2025-10.05.2025

Next election: 08.03.2026

The next general election in Baden-Württemberg will be held in 259.

Election poll results

Baden-Württemberg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Baden-Württemberg from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 26%, AfD 23%, Grüne 23%, SPD 12.5%, Die Linke 5.5%, FDP 4.5% and BSW 1.5%. If an election were held in Baden-Württemberg this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +13.3 growth since the last election. Grüne, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Winfried Kretschmann is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 54.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (03.05.2025 - 10.05.2025).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
7
5.8%
SPD
17
14.2%
Grüne
31
25.8%
CDU
34
28.3%
AfD
31
25.8%
CDU + Grüne
54.2%
CDU + AfD
54.2%
Grüne + SPD + Die Linke
45.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Baden-Württemberg was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 03.05.2025 and 10.05.2025 among 1100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 26%, AfD 23%, Grüne 23%, SPD 12.5%, Die Linke 5.5%, FDP 4.5% and BSW 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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