Official Final Results of the Bavarian Election

General election in Bavaria 2018

Bavarian Election Results: October 14, 2018

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the Bavarian election is 5%.

Voter Turnout

Voter turnout was 72.3%.

Current Election Trend: Bavaria
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
Historical Elections: Bavaria
Results, coalitions, and historical data

Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

205
Majority requires 103 seats

The current government loses its majority

The incumbent governing parties secured 41.5% of the seats.

CSU + Grüne
Centre-Right
60.0%
CSU + Freie Wähler
Right
54.6%
CSU + SPD
Centre-Right
52.2%
CSU + AfD
Right
52.2%
Grüne + Freie Wähler + SPD + FDP
Centre-Left
47.8%
CSU + FDP
Right
46.8%

Governments of the Current Legislative Period

Historical Government Cabinets: Bavaria
Cabinets and governing parties since 1945

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

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ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”