Bavaria: Poll by Forsa from 25.10.2022

Polling data

CSU
41.0
+1.0
Grüne
18.0
-2.0
FW
11.0
+1.0
SPD
10.0
+1.0
AfD
8.0
+1.0
FDP
3.0
-3.0
Linke
2.0
+1.0
Others
7.0
±0.0
Forsa – 1083 respondents – 17.10.2022-25.10.2022
Institute often rates AfD lower
In 40% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates CSU higher
In 30% of election polls, Forsa rates CSU higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates Freie Wähler higher
In 30% of election polls, Forsa rates Freie Wähler higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2023
The next parliamentary election in Bavaria is expected to take place in 2023.

Coalition possibilities

CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
67.1
CSU + Freie Wähler
59.1
CSU + SPD
58.0
CSU
46.6


Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 59.1% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bavaria was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 17.10.2022 and 25.10.2022 among 1083 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CSU 41%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18%, Freie Wähler 11%, SPD 10%, AfD 8%, FDP 3% and Die Linke 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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