Bavaria: Poll by Wahlkreisprognose from 03.11.2022

Polling data

CSU
42.0
±0.0
Grüne
19.0
-2.0
FW
11.5
+3.5
AfD
11.0
+3.0
SPD
6.0
±0.0
FDP
5.5
-2.5
Linke
1.0
-1.0
Others
4.0
±0.0
Wahlkreisprognose – 1040 respondents – 29.10.2022-03.11.2022
Institute often rates SPD higher
In 40% of election polls, Wahlkreisprognose rates SPD higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Next election: 2023
The next parliamentary election in Bavaria is expected to take place in 2023.

Coalition possibilities

CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
64.2
CSU + Freie Wähler
56.3
CSU + SPD
50.5
CSU + FDP
50.0


Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 56.3% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bavaria was conducted by Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 29.10.2022 and 03.11.2022 among 1040 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CSU 42%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19%, Freie Wähler 11.5%, AfD 11%, SPD 6%, FDP 5.5% and Die Linke 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
We use cookies to ensure you get the best experience on our website. More info