Development since the last election on 14.10.2018
Civey – 5501 respondents – 06.11.2022-20.11.2022
Compared to the general election trend of all institutes, there are no significant anomalies regarding individual parties.
Next election: 2023
The next parliamentary election in Bavaria is expected to take place in 2023.
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 58.0% of the votes.
Frequently asked questions about election polls
election poll results
This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bavaria was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 06.11.2022 and 20.11.2022 among 5501 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CSU 41%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, Freie Wähler 10%, AfD 10%, SPD 10%, FDP 3% and Die Linke 2%.
How reliable are election polls?
Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.
What should you look out for in election polls?
Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.