Bavaria: Poll by Infratest dimap from 09.01.2023

Polling data

CSU
38.0
+1.0
Grüne
18.0
±0.0
AfD
13.0
+1.0
FW
10.0
-1.0
SPD
9.0
-1.0
FDP
4.0
+1.0
Sonst.
8.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 08.10.2023
Infratest dimap – 1190 respondents – 04.01.2023-09.01.2023
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Bavaria is expected to take place in 2028.
Institute often rates CSU lower
In 39% of election polls Infratest dimap rates CSU lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Bavaria - The latest poll for the State election in Bavaria from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CSU 38%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18%, AfD 13%, Freie Wähler 10%, SPD 9% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Bavaria this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.6 growth since the last election. Freie Wähler, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Markus Söder is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CSU and Freie Wähler. With 54.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1190 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (04.01.2023 - 09.01.2023).

Coalition possibilities

180
SPD
18
Grüne
37
CSU
78
FW
20
AfD
27
Majority requires 91 seats
CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
115
CSU + AfD
105
CSU + Freie Wähler
98
CSU + SPD
96

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bavaria was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 04.01.2023 and 09.01.2023 among 1190 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CSU 38%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 18%, AfD 13%, Freie Wähler 10%, SPD 9% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.