Bavaria: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 17.01.2023

Polling data

CSU
43.0
±0.0
Grüne
17.5
±0.0
FW
13.0
+1.5
AfD
8.0
-4.0
SPD
8.0
+1.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Linke
1.0
±0.0
Others
5.5
±0.0
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1040 respondents – 13.01.2023-17.01.2023
Next election: 08.10.2023
The next general election in Bavaria will be held in 248.

Coalition possibilities

CSU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
67.6
CSU + Freie Wähler
62.5
CSU + SPD
56.9
CSU
48.0
Government could stay in office
In the current election trend, the government parties achieve 62.5% of the votes.

Frequently asked questions about election polls

election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Bavaria was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 13.01.2023 and 17.01.2023 among 1040 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CSU 43%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17.5%, Freie Wähler 13%, AfD 8%, SPD 8%, FDP 4% and Die Linke 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.

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