Interactive Coalition Calculator

Electoral Threshold

Electoral Threshold: 5%

Majority Status

Majority requires 76 of 150 seats

Scenarios: What if...?
Select the parties that are projected to cross the electoral threshold and enter parliament.
Reset to Current Trend

What-If Scenarios: The Electoral Threshold

The situation becomes particularly intriguing for parties hovering near the electoral threshold. Here, you take the lead: using the checkboxes, you decide whether a "swing party" enters the Belgium parliament or falls short. If you "vote a party in," its share for the scenario is raised to the threshold; if you "exclude it," its seats are redistributed. PolitPro then instantly calculates an updated seat distribution and adjusts your coalition options accordingly. A click on "Reset to Election Trend" will always return you to the baseline of current polling data.

150
Select parties to simulate potential coalitions.
N-VA
28
VB
24
MR
18
PVDA
17
CD&V
14
PS
14
VO
14
LE
12
OVLD
9

How Does the Coalition Calculator Work?

Our Coalition Calculator allows you to assemble your own government alliances for Belgium and instantly verify if they secure a parliamentary majority. The calculation is based on the latest PolitPro Election Trend, from which we derive the projected seat distribution. Simply select your preferred parties: you'll immediately see the combined seat count and whether the alliance reaches the required majority. Furthermore, the tool suggests potential partners to complete your coalition and provides a precise majority forecast for various political configurations.

28
24
18
17
14
14
14
12
9
-150