Current election polls and polling data from Ipsos

Latest voting intention survey by Ipsos for Belgium

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Belgium conducted by Ipsos, the parties received the following results: MR 27.4%, PS 24.6%, LE 20.6%, PVDA/PTB 12.9% and Ecolo 8.1%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 21.11.2024 - 21.11.2024.
1000 participants
18.11.2024 - 21.11.2024
Ipsos
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
MR
27.4
+0.8
PS
24.6
+2.9
LE
20.6
-2.0
PVDA
12.9
-0.2
ECO
8.1
±0.0
Others
6.4
-1.5

Seats in parliament

150
Majority requires 76 seats
PVDA
21
14%
PS
39
26%
ECO
13
8.7%
MR
44
29.3%
LE
33
22%
PS + LE + Ecolo
56.7%
PS + LE + Ecolo
56.7%
MR + PS
55.3%
MR + PVDA/PTB + Ecolo
52.0%
MR + PVDA/PTB + Ecolo
52.0%
MR + LE
51.3%
MR + LE
51.3%

16

PolitPro Score

Ipsos achieves a score of 16/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
ECO
19
44
38
LE
29
36
36
MR
13
67
20
PS
25
44
31
PVDA
30
27
43

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

4.5

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 4.5 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
4.47
Parliamentary Election in Belgien 2024 1/1

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.