Belgium: Poll by Kantar from 09.10.2023

Polling data

PS
27.2
+27.2
MR
20.6
+20.6
PVDA
19.2
+13.5
ECO
11.6
+11.6
LE
11.1
+11.1
DéFI
4.5
+4.5
Sonst.
5.8
-88.5
Development since the last election on 26.05.2019
Kantar – 436 respondents – 10.09.2023-09.10.2023
Next election: 09.06.2024
The next general election in Belgium will be held in 51.
Low number of respondents
Only 436 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Belgium - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Belgium from Kantar shows the following results: PS 27.2%, MR 20.6%, PVDA/PTB 19.2%, Ecolo 11.6%, LE 11.1% and DéFI 4.5%. If an election were held in Belgium this Sunday, PS might gain the most in voter favorability with +17.7 growth since the last election. DéFI, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Alexander De Croo is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CD&V, OVLD, Vooruit, Groen, PS, MR and Ecolo. With 66.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 436 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 29 days (10.09.2023 - 09.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

150
PVDA
32
PS
45
ECO
19
MR
35
LE
19
Majority requires 76 seats
MR + PVDA/PTB + Ecolo
MR + PVDA/PTB + Ecolo
PS + Ecolo + LE
PS + Ecolo + LE
PS + MR
80
PS + PVDA/PTB
77
PS + PVDA/PTB
77

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Belgium was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 10.09.2023 and 09.10.2023 among 436 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PS 27.2%, MR 20.6%, PVDA/PTB 19.2%, Ecolo 11.6%, LE 11.1% and DéFI 4.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.