Belgium: Poll by Kantar from 09.10.2023

Polling data

MR
19.7
+19.7
PS
18.8
+18.8
PVDA
16.3
+10.6
ECO
13.0
+13.0
DéFI
6.9
+6.9
N-VA
5.3
-16.2
LE
5.1
+5.1
Groen
4.2
-6.1
VB
4.2
-20.6
OVLD
3.3
-8.8
VO
1.3
-13.9
CD&V
0.8
-8.8
Sonst.
1.1
+0.3
Kantar – 545 respondents – 10.09.2023-09.10.2023
Next election: 09.06.2024
The next general election in Belgium will be held in 51.
Low number of respondents
Only 545 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Belgium - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Belgium from Kantar shows the following results: MR 19.7%, PS 18.8%, PVDA/PTB 16.3%, Ecolo 13%, DéFI 6.9%, N-VA 5.3%, LE 5.1%, Groen 4.2%, VB 4.2%, OVLD 3.3%, Vooruit 1.3% and CD&V 0.8%. If an election were held in Belgium this Sunday, MR might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.1 growth since the last election. N-VA, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-10.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Alexander De Croo is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CD&V, OVLD, Vooruit, Groen, PS, MR and Ecolo. With 60.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 545 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 29 days (10.09.2023 - 09.10.2023).

Coalition possibilities

150
PVDA
29
PS
33
ECO
23
DéFI
12
MR
35
N-VA
9
LE
9
Majority requires 76 seats
MR + PS + PVDA/PTB
MR + PS + PVDA/PTB
MR + PS + Ecolo
MR + PVDA/PTB + Ecolo
MR + PVDA/PTB + Ecolo
PS + PVDA/PTB + Ecolo
PS + PVDA/PTB + Ecolo
MR + PS + DéFI
MR + Ecolo + DéFI + LE
PS + Ecolo + DéFI + LE
MR + PS + N-VA
MR + PS + LE
MR + PS + LE
MR + Ecolo + N-VA + LE
MR + Ecolo + N-VA + LE
MR + PVDA/PTB + DéFI
PS + Ecolo + N-VA + LE
PS + Ecolo + N-VA + LE
PS + PVDA/PTB + DéFI

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Belgium was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 10.09.2023 and 09.10.2023 among 545 eligible voters. After this election poll would get MR 19.7%, PS 18.8%, PVDA/PTB 16.3%, Ecolo 13%, DéFI 6.9%, N-VA 5.3%, LE 5.1%, Groen 4.2%, VB 4.2%, OVLD 3.3%, Vooruit 1.3% and CD&V 0.8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.