Belgium
Election trend
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Belgium: Poll by Kantar from 08.02.2024

Polling data

VB
25.5
+21.3
N-VA
20.6
+15.3
VO
14.7
+13.4
PVDA
10.9
-5.4
CD&V
10.5
+9.7
Groen
8.7
+4.5
OVLD
8.0
+4.7
Sonst.
1.1
-63.5
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
VB
+11.7
N-VA
+3.9
VO
+6.6
PVDA
+1.0
CD&V
+2.5
Groen
+4.0
OVLD
+2.5
Kantar – 1000 respondents – 22.01.2024-08.02.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Belgium is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Belgium - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Belgium from Kantar shows the following results: VB 25.5%, N-VA 20.6%, Vooruit 14.7%, PVDA/PTB 10.9%, CD&V 10.5%, Groen 8.7% and OVLD 8%. If an election were held in Belgium this Sunday, VB might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.7 growth since the last election. PVDA/PTB, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+1.0) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Alexander De Croo is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CD&V, OVLD, Vooruit, Groen, PS, MR and Ecolo. With 42.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 17 days (22.01.2024 - 08.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

150
PVDA
17
VO
22
Groen
13
OVLD
12
CD&V
16
N-VA
31
VB
39
Majority requires 76 seats
VB + N-VA + CD&V
86
N-VA + Vooruit + CD&V + Groen
82
VB + N-VA + OVLD
82
N-VA + Vooruit + CD&V + OVLD
81
N-VA + Vooruit + Groen + OVLD
78

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Belgium was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 22.01.2024 and 08.02.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get VB 25.5%, N-VA 20.6%, Vooruit 14.7%, PVDA/PTB 10.9%, CD&V 10.5%, Groen 8.7% and OVLD 8%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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