Belgium: Poll by Kantar from 08.02.2024

Belgium: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PS
24.3
+5.5
MR
19.9
+0.2
PVDA
18.4
+2.1
ECO
13.8
+0.8
CD&V
13.2
+12.4
DéFI
4.1
-2.8
Others
6.3
-18.2
Development since the last election on 09.06.2024
PS
+16.3
MR
+9.6
PVDA
+8.5
ECO
+11.2
CD&V
+5.2
DéFI
+2.9
Kantar – 1000 respondents – 22.01.2024-08.02.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Belgium is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates DéFI higher

In 63% of election polls, Kantar rates DéFI higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Ecolo higher

In 33% of election polls, Kantar rates Ecolo higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PS higher

In 33% of election polls, Kantar rates PS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PVDA/PTB lower

In 42% of election polls Kantar rates PVDA/PTB lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Belgium - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Belgium from Kantar shows the following results: PS 24.3%, MR 19.9%, PVDA/PTB 18.4%, Ecolo 13.8%, CD&V 13.2% and DéFI 4.1%. If an election were held in Belgium this Sunday, PS might gain the most in voter favorability with +16.3 growth since the last election. DéFI, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (+2.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Bart De Wever is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from N-VA, CD&V, Vooruit, MR and LE. With 36.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Kantar. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 17 days (22.01.2024 - 08.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
PVDA
31
20.7%
PS
41
27.3%
ECO
23
15.3%
MR
33
22%
CD&V
22
14.7%
PS + MR + PVDA/PTB
70.0%
PS + MR + PVDA/PTB
70.0%
PS + MR + Ecolo
64.7%
PS + MR + CD&V
64.0%
PS + PVDA/PTB + Ecolo
63.3%
PS + PVDA/PTB + Ecolo
63.3%
MR + PVDA/PTB + Ecolo
58.0%
MR + PVDA/PTB + Ecolo
58.0%
PS + Ecolo + CD&V
57.3%
MR + Ecolo + CD&V
52.0%
PS + MR
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Belgium was conducted by Kantar. The survey took place between 22.01.2024 and 08.02.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PS 24.3%, MR 19.9%, PVDA/PTB 18.4%, Ecolo 13.8%, CD&V 13.2% and DéFI 4.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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