Berlin: Poll by INSA from 24.09.2021

Berlin: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SPD
23.0
+1.0
Grüne
17.0
-1.0
CDU
15.0
-1.0
Linke
14.0
-1.0
AfD
11.0
-1.0
FDP
8.0
-1.0
FW
3.0
±0.0
Tier
3.0
+3.0
Others
6.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 12.02.2023
SPD
+4.6
Grüne
-1.4
CDU
-13.2
Linke
+1.8
AfD
+1.9
FDP
+3.4
FW
+2.7
Tier
+0.6
INSA – 1000 respondents – 22.09.2021-24.09.2021

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Berlin is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 35% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Berlin - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Berlin from INSA shows the following results: SPD 23%, Grüne 17%, CDU 15%, Die Linke 14%, AfD 11%, FDP 8%, Freie Wähler 3% and Tierschutzpartei 3%. If an election were held in Berlin this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.6 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-13.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Kai Wegner is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 43.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (22.09.2021 - 24.09.2021).

Coalition possibilities

130
Majority requires 66 seats
Linke
21
16.2%
SPD
34
26.2%
Grüne
25
19.2%
FDP
12
9.2%
CDU
22
16.9%
AfD
16
12.3%
SPD + Grüne + CDU
62.3%
SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
61.5%
SPD + Grüne + FDP
54.6%
SPD + CDU + FDP
52.3%
SPD + Grüne
45.4%
Grüne + CDU + FDP
45.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Berlin was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 22.09.2021 and 24.09.2021 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 23%, Grüne 17%, CDU 15%, Die Linke 14%, AfD 11%, FDP 8%, Freie Wähler 3% and Tierschutzpartei 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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