Berlin
Election trend
Parties

Berlin: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 13.10.2022

Polling data

CDU
21.0
+2.0
Grüne
19.0
-7.5
SPD
18.0
-2.5
Linke
14.0
+3.5
AfD
13.0
+4.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
10.0
+0.5
Development since the last election on 12.02.2023
CDU
-7.2
Grüne
+0.6
SPD
-0.4
Linke
+1.8
AfD
+3.9
FDP
+0.4
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1100 respondents – 10.10.2022-13.10.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Berlin is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Berlin - The latest poll for the State election in Berlin from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 21%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19%, SPD 18%, Die Linke 14%, AfD 13% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Berlin this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Franziska Giffey is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 43.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1100 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (10.10.2022 - 13.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

130
Linke
20
SPD
26
Grüne
28
FDP
7
CDU
30
AfD
19
Majority requires 66 seats
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD
84
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke
74
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
65
CDU + SPD + FDP
63
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
61

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Berlin was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 10.10.2022 and 13.10.2022 among 1100 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 21%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19%, SPD 18%, Die Linke 14%, AfD 13% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.