Berlin
Election trend
Parties

Berlin: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 29.10.2022

Polling data

Grüne
19.5
+0.5
SPD
19.0
+1.0
CDU
19.0
-2.0
Linke
14.5
+0.5
AfD
12.0
-1.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
11.0
+1.0
Development since the last election on 12.02.2023
Grüne
+1.1
SPD
+0.6
CDU
-9.2
Linke
+2.3
AfD
+2.9
FDP
+0.4
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1311 respondents – 27.10.2022-29.10.2022
Next election: 2028
The next parliamentary election in Berlin is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Berlin - The latest poll for the State election in Berlin from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19.5%, SPD 19%, CDU 19%, Die Linke 14.5%, AfD 12% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Berlin this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Franziska Giffey is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 42.6% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1311 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (27.10.2022 - 29.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

130
Linke
21
SPD
28
Grüne
28
FDP
7
CDU
28
AfD
18
Majority requires 66 seats
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU + SPD
84
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Die Linke
77
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + CDU + FDP
63
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
63
CDU + SPD + FDP
63

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Berlin was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 27.10.2022 and 29.10.2022 among 1311 eligible voters. After this election poll would get Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 19.5%, SPD 19%, CDU 19%, Die Linke 14.5%, AfD 12% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.