Berlin: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 02.08.2023

Polling data

CDU
24.5
-0.5
Grüne
16.5
-2.0
SPD
16.0
-3.5
AfD
16.0
+7.0
Linke
13.5
+0.5
FDP
4.0
-1.0
Others
9.5
-0.5
Development since the last election on 12.02.2023
CDU
-3.7
Grüne
-1.9
SPD
-2.4
AfD
+6.9
Linke
+1.3
FDP
-0.6
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1000 respondents – 25.07.2023-02.08.2023

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Berlin is expected to take place in 2028.

Election poll results

Berlin - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Berlin from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 24.5%, Grüne 16.5%, SPD 16%, AfD 16%, Die Linke 13.5% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Berlin this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.9 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.7) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Kai Wegner is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 47.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (25.07.2023 - 02.08.2023).

Coalition possibilities

130
Majority requires 66 seats
Linke
20
15.4%
SPD
24
18.5%
Grüne
25
19.2%
CDU
37
28.5%
AfD
24
18.5%
CDU + Grüne + SPD
66.2%
Grüne + SPD + Die Linke
53.1%
CDU + Grüne
47.7%
CDU + SPD
46.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Berlin was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 25.07.2023 and 02.08.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 24.5%, Grüne 16.5%, SPD 16%, AfD 16%, Die Linke 13.5% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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