Berlin: Poll by INSA from 09.07.2024

Polling data

CDU
26.0
-3.0
SPD
18.0
+2.0
Grüne
15.0
-2.0
AfD
12.0
-1.0
BSW
12.0
+12.0
Linke
7.0
-3.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Others
6.0
-5.0
Development since the last election on 12.02.2023
CDU
-2.2
SPD
-0.4
Grüne
-3.4
AfD
+2.9
BSW
New
Linke
-5.2
FDP
-0.6
INSA – 1000 respondents – 01.07.2024-09.07.2024

Next election: 2028

The next parliamentary election in Berlin is expected to take place in 2028.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 43% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 36% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Berlin - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Berlin from INSA shows the following results: CDU 26%, SPD 18%, Grüne 15%, AfD 12%, BSW 12%, Die Linke 7% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Berlin this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.9 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.2) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Kai Wegner is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 49.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (01.07.2024 - 09.07.2024).

Coalition possibilities

130
Majority requires 66 seats
Linke
10
7.7%
SPD
26
20%
Grüne
22
16.9%
BSW
17
13.1%
CDU
38
29.2%
AfD
17
13.1%
CDU + SPD + Grüne
66.2%
CDU + SPD + BSW
62.3%
CDU + Grüne + BSW
59.2%
SPD + Grüne + BSW + Die Linke
57.7%
CDU + AfD + BSW
55.4%
SPD + Grüne + BSW
50.0%
CDU + BSW + Die Linke
50.0%
CDU + SPD
49.2%
CDU + Grüne
46.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Berlin was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 01.07.2024 and 09.07.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 26%, SPD 18%, Grüne 15%, AfD 12%, BSW 12%, Die Linke 7% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
How to embed the election trend on your website:
  1. Copy code below
  2. Paste code on your website
  3. Done!
Copy code
Copied!