The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Institut Wahlkreisprognose: poll for the Brandenburg state election, fieldwork concluded September 21, 2024.
Changes since the last election on September 1, 2019
Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 51.1% of the parliamentary seats.
A recent voting intention poll for Brandenburg by Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows SPD leading with 28%, followed by AfD with 27%, CDU with 13.5%, BSW with 12.5%, BVB/FW with 4.5%, Grüne with 4%, Die Linke with 3.5% and FDP with 0.5%. Other parties achieve 6.5% of the votes.
To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.
16 election comparisons
Last on June 19, 2025
No significant deviations from the Election Trend
In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.
Select parties to test coalitions.
Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 5%.
Based on this poll, 4 parties would surpass the electoral threshold and enter Brandenburg's Landtag: SPD with 30 seats, AfD with 29 seats, CDU with 15 seats and BSW with 14 seats.
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