Brandenburg: Poll by INSA from 26.08.2019

Polling data

SPD
21.0
+2.0
AfD
21.0
+2.0
CDU
17.0
-1.0
Linke
15.0
-1.0
Grüne
14.0
-2.0
FDP
5.0
-1.0
BVB/FW
5.0
+2.0
Others
2.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 22.09.2024
SPD
-9.9
AfD
-8.2
CDU
+4.9
Linke
+12.0
Grüne
+9.9
FDP
+4.2
BVB/FW
+2.4
INSA – 1019 respondents – 19.08.2019-26.08.2019

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Brandenburg is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 36% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Brandenburg - The latest poll for the State election in Brandenburg from INSA shows the following results: SPD 21%, AfD 21%, CDU 17%, Die Linke 15%, Grüne 14%, FDP 5% and BVB/FW 5%. If an election were held in Brandenburg this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +12.0 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Dietmar Woidke is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, CDU and SPD. With 53.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1019 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (19.08.2019 - 26.08.2019).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
Linke
13
15.3%
SPD
19
21.4%
Grüne
13
14.3%
FDP
5
5.1%
CDU
15
17.3%
BVB/FW
4
5.1%
AfD
19
21.4%
SPD + CDU + Die Linke + Grüne
68.2%
SPD + CDU + Grüne
53.4%
SPD + Die Linke + Grüne
51.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Brandenburg was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 19.08.2019 and 26.08.2019 among 1019 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 21%, AfD 21%, CDU 17%, Die Linke 15%, Grüne 14%, FDP 5% and BVB/FW 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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