Brandenburg: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 23.06.2024

Brandenburg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AfD
29.0
+2.0
BSW
17.0
+7.5
CDU
16.5
+1.5
SPD
16.0
-5.0
BVB/FW
5.5
±0.0
Grüne
5.0
-2.0
Linke
3.5
-2.0
FDP
1.5
-0.5
Others
6.0
-1.5
Development since the last election on 22.09.2024
AfD
-0.2
BSW
+3.5
CDU
+4.4
SPD
-14.9
BVB/FW
+2.9
Grüne
+0.9
Linke
+0.5
FDP
+0.7
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1000 respondents – 15.06.2024-23.06.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Brandenburg is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Brandenburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Brandenburg from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: AfD 29%, BSW 17%, CDU 16.5%, SPD 16%, BVB/FW 5.5%, Grüne 5%, Die Linke 3.5% and FDP 1.5%. If an election were held in Brandenburg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.4 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-14.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Dietmar Woidke is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from SPD and BSW. With 37.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (15.06.2024 - 23.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
SPD
16
18.2%
Grüne
5
5.7%
BSW
17
19.3%
CDU
16
18.2%
BVB/FW
5
5.7%
AfD
29
33%
BSW + CDU + SPD
55.7%
AfD + BSW
52.3%
AfD + CDU
51.1%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Brandenburg was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 15.06.2024 and 23.06.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 29%, BSW 17%, CDU 16.5%, SPD 16%, BVB/FW 5.5%, Grüne 5%, Die Linke 3.5% and FDP 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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