Brandenburg: Poll by Infratest dimap from 09.07.2024

Brandenburg: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AfD
23.0
-3.0
CDU
19.0
+1.0
SPD
19.0
-3.0
BSW
16.0
+6.0
Grüne
7.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
-2.0
BVB/FW
3.0
±0.0
FDP
3.0
+3.0
Others
6.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 22.09.2024
AfD
-6.2
CDU
+6.9
SPD
-11.9
BSW
+2.5
Grüne
+2.9
Linke
+1.0
BVB/FW
+0.4
FDP
+2.2
Infratest dimap – 1153 respondents – 04.07.2024-09.07.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Brandenburg is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Brandenburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Brandenburg from Infratest dimap shows the following results: AfD 23%, CDU 19%, SPD 19%, BSW 16%, Grüne 7%, Die Linke 4%, BVB/FW 3% and FDP 3%. If an election were held in Brandenburg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.9 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-11.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Dietmar Woidke is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from SPD and BSW. With 42.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1153 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (04.07.2024 - 09.07.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
SPD
20
22.7%
Grüne
7
8%
BSW
17
19.3%
CDU
20
22.7%
AfD
24
27.3%
AfD + CDU + BSW
69.3%
CDU + SPD + BSW
64.8%
CDU + SPD + Grüne
53.4%
AfD + CDU
50.0%
SPD + BSW + Grüne
50.0%
CDU + BSW + Grüne
50.0%
CDU + SPD
45.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Brandenburg was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 04.07.2024 and 09.07.2024 among 1153 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 23%, CDU 19%, SPD 19%, BSW 16%, Grüne 7%, Die Linke 4%, BVB/FW 3% and FDP 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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