Brandenburg: Poll by INSA from 16.09.2024

Polling data

AfD
28.0
+4.0
SPD
25.0
+5.0
CDU
16.0
-3.0
BSW
14.0
-3.0
BVB/FW
4.0
±0.0
Grüne
4.0
-1.0
Linke
3.0
-2.0
FDP
2.0
±0.0
Others
4.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 22.09.2024
AfD
-1.2
SPD
-5.9
CDU
+3.9
BSW
+0.5
BVB/FW
+1.4
Grüne
-0.1
Linke
±0.0
FDP
+1.2
INSA – 1000 respondents – 09.09.2024-16.09.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Brandenburg is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 40% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 36% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Brandenburg - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Brandenburg from INSA shows the following results: AfD 28%, SPD 25%, CDU 16%, BSW 14%, BVB/FW 4%, Grüne 4%, Die Linke 3% and FDP 2%. If an election were held in Brandenburg this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Dr. Dietmar Woidke is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from SPD and BSW. With 46.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (09.09.2024 - 16.09.2024).

Coalition possibilities

88
Majority requires 45 seats
SPD
26
29.5%
BSW
15
17%
CDU
17
19.3%
AfD
30
34.1%
SPD + CDU + BSW
65.9%
AfD + CDU
53.4%
AfD + BSW
51.1%
SPD + CDU
48.9%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Brandenburg was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 09.09.2024 and 16.09.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 28%, SPD 25%, CDU 16%, BSW 14%, BVB/FW 4%, Grüne 4%, Die Linke 3% and FDP 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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