Latest Opinion Poll for the Bremen Election (Institut Wahlkreisprognose, September 16, 2022)

September 18, 2022 - September 16, 2022

1010 respondents

Next General election in Bremen: 2027

The next General election in Bremen is expected in 2027.

Who is leading in the latest poll from Institut Wahlkreisprognose?

In the latest opinion poll for the election in Bremen, conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose on September 16, 2022, SPD leads with 28%. Trailing behind are CDU: 23%, Grüne: 18%, AfD: 9.5%, Die Linke: 9%, FDP: 5.5% and Bündnis Deutschland: 3%. Other parties secure 4% of the votes.

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Quality Check: How Reliable is the Institut Wahlkreisprognose Projection?

87

PolitPro Score

Institut Wahlkreisprognose achieved a PolitPro Score of 87 out of 100.

1.1

Election Accuracy

On average, Institut Wahlkreisprognose's figures deviate by 1.1 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

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Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

0
Majority requires 1 seats

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the Bremen election is 5%.

The Electoral System in Bremen

Bremen employs a highly democratic electoral system, granting voters five votes each, which can be freely distributed across party lists and individual candidates (a process known as 'Kumulieren' and 'Panaschieren'). The electoral district is divided into the cities of Bremen and Bremerhaven. This unique system empowers citizens with significant influence over the personal composition of the Bürgerschaft, extending far beyond mere party preference.

Electoral Thresholds

Bremen enforces a five-percent electoral threshold, but with a crucial regional distinction: parties only need to clear this hurdle in one of the two electoral districts (Bremen or Bremerhaven). This unique provision allows smaller parties or voter associations, particularly those with strong roots solely in Bremerhaven, to still gain representation in the state parliament.

Government Formation and Traditions

Bremen made history as the first German federal state to form a red-green-red coalition, led by the SPD. Government formation in this smallest federal state often involves a delicate balancing act between ambitious social policies and a challenging budgetary situation. Coalitions here are typically forged with a strong emphasis on 'two-city solidarity,' reflecting the unique relationship between Bremen and Bremerhaven.

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Data Sources and Methodology

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