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Bulgaria's General Election: Official Results

General election in Bulgaria 2024

Bulgarian Election Results: October 27, 2024

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the Bulgarian election is 4%.

Voter Turnout

Voter turnout was 38.9%.

Bulgaria: Current Election Trend
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
Historical Elections: Bulgaria
Results, coalitions, and historical data
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Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

The current government loses its majority

The incumbent governing parties secured 44.2% of the seats.

GERB + PP/DB + Vŭzrazhdane
Centre-Right
58.8%
GERB + DPS + BSP + APS
Centre-Right
57.5%
GERB + DPS + BSP + ITN
Centre-Right
57.1%
GERB + PP/DB + DPS
Centre-Right
56.7%
GERB + DPS + APS + ITN
Centre-Right
56.7%
GERB + Vŭzrazhdane + DPS
Right
55.8%
GERB + DPS + APS + MECh
Centre-Right
54.2%
GERB + DPS + ITN + MECh
Centre-Right
53.8%

Governments of the Current Legislative Period

Zhelyakov
2025
GERB
BSP
ITN
Bulgaria: Historical Government Cabinets
Cabinets and governing parties since 1945

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

0.89

Exacta

The final poll by Exacta deviated by an average of 0.89 percentage points per party from the actual Bulgarian election results.
  • GERB
    +1.2
  • PP/DB
    +0.9
  • V
    +1.4
  • APS
    +0.9
  • BSP
    +0.2
  • ITN
    -0.6
  • MECh
    -0.7
  • VEL
    -1.2
1.13

Gallup

The final poll by Gallup deviated by an average of 1.13 percentage points per party from the actual Bulgarian election results.
  • GERB
    +0.2
  • PP/DB
    +2.9
  • V
    +2.5
  • APS
    +1.1
  • BSP
    -0.2
  • ITN
    -0.3
  • MECh
    -0.7

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

GERB

Citizens for European Development of Bulgaria
Right-wing Populist
Pro EU
25.5
+1.5

PP/DB

We Continue the Change / Democratic Bulgaria
Centre-Right
Pro EU
13.7
-0.2

Vŭzrazhdane

Revival
Right-wing Populist
Anti-EU
12.9
-0.5

DPS

Movement for Rights and Freedoms
Liberal
Pro EU
11.2
-5.4

BSP

Bulgarian Socialist Party
Social Democratic
7.3
+0.4

APS

Alliance for Rights and Freedoms
Liberal
Centre
Pro EU
7.2
+7.2

ITN

There Is Such a People
Conservative
6.6
+0.8

Other Parties

Other Parties
Unknown
7.3
-7.6

MECh

Morality, Unity, Honor
Right
EU-Skeptic
4.4
+4.4

Velichie

Greatness
Far-Right
3.9
-0.6

Sayozyat na Balgarite

Free Bulgaria
Right
1.0
+1.0

Data Sources and Methodology

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ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”