Current election polls and polling data from AFIS

Latest voting intention survey by AFIS for Bulgaria

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Bulgaria conducted by AFIS, the parties received the following results: GERB 25.2%, BSP 22.5%, ITN 14.2%, DPS 11.5%, DB 5.6%, IS.BG 4.1%, VMRO 3.2%, Volya 2%, ABV 1.6% and Ataka 1.6%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 17.02.2021 - 17.02.2021.
1000 participants
12.02.2021 - 17.02.2021
AFIS
GERB
25.2
±0.0
BSP
22.5
±0.0
ITN
14.2
±0.0
DPS
11.5
±0.0
DB
5.6
±0.0
IS.BG
4.1
±0.0
VMRO
3.2
±0.0
Volya
2.0
±0.0
ABV
1.6
±0.0
Ataka
1.6
±0.0
Others
8.5
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

240
Majority requires 121 seats
IS.BG
11
4.6%
BSP
66
27.5%
ITN
41
17.1%
DPS
33
13.8%
GERB
73
30.4%
DB
16
6.7%
GERB + ITN + DPS
61.3%
BSP + ITN + DPS
58.3%
GERB + BSP
57.9%
GERB + ITN + DB
54.2%
BSP + DPS + DB + IS.BG
52.5%
GERB + DPS + DB
50.8%

?

PolitPro Score

AFIS achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
BSP
Not enough data available
DB
Not enough data available
DPS
Not enough data available
GERB
Not enough data available
IS.BG
Not enough data available
ITN
Not enough data available
VMRO
Not enough data available
Volya
Not enough data available

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.