Latest voting intention survey by Centre for Analysis and Marketing for Bulgaria
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Bulgaria conducted by Centre for Analysis and Marketing, the parties received the following results: PP/DB 25.7%, GERB 24.7%, DPS 13.8%, Vŭzrazhdane 12.5%, BSP 8.1%, Levitsata 4%, ITN 2.9%, BV 2.8% and NDSV 1.2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1020 people during the period 19.03.2023 - 19.03.2023.
1020 participants
16.03.2023 - 19.03.2023
Centre for Analysis and Marketing
PP/DB
25.7
±0.0
GERB
24.7
±0.0
DPS
13.8
±0.0
V
12.5
±0.0
BSP
8.1
±0.0
L
4.0
±0.0
ITN
2.9
±0.0
BV
2.8
±0.0
NDSV
1.2
±0.0
Others
4.3
±0.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
240
Majority requires 121 seats
L
10
4.2%
BSP
22
9.2%
DPS
37
15.4%
PP/DB
70
29.2%
GERB
67
27.9%
V
34
14.2%
PP/DB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
GERB + DPS + Vŭzrazhdane
PP/DB + GERB
PP/DB + DPS + BSP
GERB + DPS + BSP
?
PolitPro Score
Centre for Analysis and Marketing achieves a score of ?/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.2
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Centre for Analysis and Marketing pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.2 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.17
|
Parliamentary Election in Bulgarien 2023 | 1/1 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.